Nigerian Stocks Tumble as Investors Bail Out



05 February 2009

Nigeria, sub-Saharan Africa's second biggest equities market after South Africa has long been an attraction for emerging market investors. But the Nigerian stock exchange has slumped to record levels in the past few months, making it one of the worst performing in the world, and feeding worries about the future.

In 2008, the market value of stocks listed on the Nigerian stock exchange declined for the first time in nine years, tumbling 46 percent. Stocks fell 31 percent in January 2009, the world's biggest decline, and the trend is showing no sign of easing.

A Lagos-based stock broker, Patrick Ezeagu, says confidence in the stock market took a severe knock last year following the exit of foreign investors seeking safety amid the global credit crunch.

"Things were going normal until we had this bust," he said. "And I think that the whole thing was precipitated from outside the system. Because we had some hedge funds that came, which helped to buoy up the market. 

"And then when the West had their own problems, the first thing they did was they go offshore to divest and then run home to go and solve their own problem. That going offshore, gave us the first shock we had and other things followed. Because everything was going on well until that happened," he added.

Purchases by foreign investors amounted to $1.2 billion in 2008, compared to more than $2 billion in 2007.

The Nigerian stock exchange has 213 listed equities and a market value of about $46 billion, according to the exchange Web site.

The Nigerian stock exchange said this week it planned to introduce new measures in the first quarter of 2009, as part of moves aimed at attracting foreign investors.

Analysts say Nigerian stocks are unlikely to recover this year, but have huge potential in the longer term, with the country's population of 140 million people representing a largely untapped market.