[ti:UN Predicts More Rising Temperatures Over Next Five Years] [by:www.51voa.com] [00:00.00]更多听力请访问51VOA.COM [00:00.04]The United Nations predicts worldwide temperatures over the next five years [00:06.72]may at times rise to more than 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. [00:17.72]The U.N.'s World Meteorological Organization, WMO, [00:23.96]said the prediction suggests continued warming could present a challenge [00:30.88]to climate change goals set in the 2015 Paris Agreement. [00:38.52]That agreement seeks to limit world temperature rises [00:43.56]through major cuts in human-caused greenhouse gases. [00:50.48]The WMO said in a new report there was a 20 percent chance [00:56.76]the yearly average temperature will rise above 1.5 Celsius higher [01:04.24]than the pre-industrial average levels in at least one year. [01:10.52]The report identifies 1850-1900 as the pre-industrial period. [01:20.40]That does not mean that the average would be crossing [01:24.72]the long-term target of 1.5 Celsius that scientists have set [01:31.76]as the limit for avoiding catastrophic climate change. [01:37.68]The information came in a new WMO effort to provide [01:43.16]shorter-range predictions of temperature, rainfall and wind. [01:50.00]The predictions are designed to help nations learn [01:54.72]how climate change may be affecting weather activity in their areas. [02:01.68]Temperatures over the last five years have been the warmest on record, [02:07.28]the WMO reported. [02:10.88]Temperatures over the next five years are very likely to be within the range [02:17.28]of 0.91 to 1.59 Celsius above pre-industrial levels, it predicted. [02:28.52]Almost all of the world, except for parts of the southern oceans, [02:34.08]are likely to be warmer than the recent past, which is defined as 1981 to 2010. [02:44.72]Southern Africa and Australia, [02:47.64]where fires last year destroyed millions of hectares, [02:52.20]will probably be dryer than usual through 2024, the report said. [02:59.16]Africa's Sahel region is likely be wetter, while Europe should see more storms. [03:08.48]Maxx Dilley, the WMO's director of climate services, [03:13.92]told The Associated Press the predictions are worrisome. [03:20.08]"It shows how close we're getting to what the Paris Agreement [03:24.52]is trying to prevent," he said. [03:28.44]Still, Dilley added that it would not be impossible [03:33.08]for countries to reach the target set in Paris, of keeping global warming [03:39.44]well below 2 degrees Celsius, by the end of the century. [03:45.04]Petteri Taalas is WMO Secretary-General. [03:50.28]He added, "While COVID-19 has caused a severe international health [03:56.92]and economic crisis, failure to tackle climate change [04:02.36]may threaten human well-being, ecosystems and economies for centuries." [04:10.64]I'm Bryan Lynn. 更多听力请访问51VOA.COM